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Spatiotemporal changes in mean and extreme climate: Farmers’ perception and its agricultural implications in Awash river basin, Ethiopia

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dc.contributor.author Damtew, Addisu
dc.contributor.author Teferi, Ermias
dc.contributor.author Ongoma, Victor
dc.contributor.author Mumo, Richard
dc.contributor.author Esayas, Befikadu
dc.date.accessioned 2022-09-06T08:34:06Z
dc.date.available 2022-09-06T08:34:06Z
dc.date.issued 2022-06-20
dc.identifier.citation Damtew, A. et al.(2022) Spatiotemporal changes in mean and extreme climate: farmers’ perception and its agricultural implications in Awash river basin, Ethiopia. Climate, 10, 89. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli10060089 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 22251154
dc.identifier.uri http://repository.biust.ac.bw/handle/123456789/480
dc.description.abstract The increase in the intensity and frequency of climate extremes threatens socioeconomic development. This study examines variability of mean and extreme climate, farmers’ perception of the changes, and impacts in the Awash River Basin. Daily rainfall and temperature data were used to analyze 23 extreme climate indices. The Mann–Kendall test was used to assess the magnitude and significance of the changes. Results show an increase in minimum (0.019–0.055 ◦C/year) and maximum temperatures (0.049–0.09 ◦C/year), while total rainfall is on a downward trend (from −3.84 mm/year to −10.26 mm/year). Warm extreme temperature indicators, including warmest day (TXx), warmest night (TNx), warm day (TX90p), warm night (TN90p), and warm spell duration indicator (WSDI), show a significant increasing trend (p < 0.05). Nevertheless, except the tepid–cool humid agroecology zone, cold extreme temperature indicators in cool days (TN10p), cool nights (TX10p), and cold spell duration (CSDI) are declining. Extreme precipitation indices, including maximum 1-day precipitation amount (RX1day), count of days when precipitation ≥10 mm (R10 mm), maximum 5-day precipitation amount (RX5day), count of days when precipitation ≥20 mm (R20mm), very wet days (R95p), extreme wet days (R99p), and total precipitation (PRCPTOT), show a decreasing trend. The perception of most farmers’ on climate change and climate extremes agreed with climate records. The major impacts perceived and asserted over all agroecologies are food price inflation, crop productivity decline, crop pests and diseases spread, livestock disease increase, and the emergence of pests and weeds. The increasing trend in extreme warm temperatures, decreasing trend in the cold extreme, and declining trend in precipitation indicators affected agricultural productivity and farmers whose livelihood depends on rainfed agriculture. This agroecology-specific study provides critical information to policymakers, decision makers, and farmers about the potential impacts of climate change and extreme events, leading to the development of agroecology-based adaptation measures. en_US
dc.description.sponsorship The lead author is funded by Addis Ababa University and Wolaita Sodo University. The authors would acknowledge the financial support and technical assistance provided by the Botswana International University of Science and Technology under grant number R00132. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute(MDPI) en_US
dc.subject Extreme climate en_US
dc.subject ClimPact2 en_US
dc.subject Agriculture en_US
dc.subject Farmers’ perception en_US
dc.subject Awash river basin en_US
dc.title Spatiotemporal changes in mean and extreme climate: Farmers’ perception and its agricultural implications in Awash river basin, Ethiopia en_US
dc.description.level phd en_US
dc.description.accessibility unrestricted en_US
dc.description.department mss en_US


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