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COVID-19 changing the face of the world. Can sub-Sahara Africa cope?

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dc.contributor.author Machingauta, Mandidayingeyi Hellen
dc.contributor.author Lungu, Bwalya
dc.contributor.author Lungu, Edward
dc.date.accessioned 2021-08-29T12:53:48Z
dc.date.available 2021-08-29T12:53:48Z
dc.date.issued 2021-03-29
dc.identifier.citation Mandidayingeyi , H. M., Lungu, B. and Lungu, E. M. (2021) COVID-19 changing the face of the world. Can sub-Sahara Africa cope?. Biomath ,10 , 2103117, http://dx.doi.org/10.11145/j.biomath.2021.03.117 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 1314-7218
dc.identifier.uri http://repository.biust.ac.bw/handle/123456789/329
dc.description.abstract We formulate a mathematical model for the spread of the coronavirus which incorporates adherence to disease prevention. The major results of this study are: First, we determined optimal infection coefficients such that high levels of coronavirus transmission are prevented. Secondly, we have found that there exists several optimal pairs of removal rates, from the general population of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectives respectively that can protect hospital bed capacity and flatten the hospital admission curve. Of the many optimal strategies, this study recommends the pair that yields the least number of coronavirus related deaths. The results for South Africa, which is better placed than the other sub-Sahara African countries, show that failure to address hygiene and adherence issues will preclude the existence of an optimal strategy and could result in a more severe epidemic than the Italian COVID-19 epidemic. Relaxing lockdown measures to allow individuals to attend to vital needs such as food replenishment increases household and community infection rates and the severity of the overall infection. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Biomath en_US
dc.subject COVID-19 en_US
dc.subject Hospital bed capacity en_US
dc.subject Re- moval rates en_US
dc.subject Optimal strategies en_US
dc.title COVID-19 changing the face of the world. Can sub-Sahara Africa cope? en_US
dc.description.level phd en_US
dc.description.accessibility unrestricted en_US
dc.description.department mss en_US


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